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Why even a strong El Niño does not guarantee a poor Indian monsoon

Seven Indian monsoons since 1950 have run into a moderate or strong El Niño. Of these, in five years, including 2026, monsoon rainfall levels were at least 10% lower than the long-term average. The IMD refers to this level as 'deficient’. The 2023 season was something of an…

The Hindu · · 1 min read ·

Why even a strong El Niño does not guarantee a poor Indian monsoon
Why even a strong El Niño does not guarantee a poor Indian monsoon (Image: The Hindu)

Seven Indian monsoons since 1950 have run into a moderate or strong El Niño. Of these, in five years, including 2026, monsoon rainfall levels were at least 10% lower than the long-term average. The IMD refers to this level as 'deficient’. The 2023 season was something of an…

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